Thursday, March 20, 2008

Poll positions...

Much ado is being made about the current Gallup poll that gives Clinton a slight lead against Obama, as though that were a death knell for his campaign.

Before we look at the actual trend in that poll, it should be pointed out that every other recent poll shows that Obama maintains a lead of up to 7 points.

According to the national average of polls (as provided by Real Clear Politics) Obama is still maintaining a 3 point lead (although this is acknowledged to be within the margin of error).

More important, however, is the graph from the Gallup poll which shows that since the apex of Jeremiah-gate the trend for Obama is rising, while Clinton is actually falling...

His historic speech is clearly having a positive impact that will reverberate in the next polling cycle.

No comments: